August 23, 2006

Allegiant Load Factor

  1. June 22nd, the 10,000 passenger embarked (outbound ORH-SAN) passenger.
  2. June 22nd was the 98th outbound flight
  3. Average passengers per flight outbound equates to approximately 102 passengers
  4. MD-80 seats 130 so the average load is 78.5%

I calculate the last flight on September 3rd to be the 138th flight outbound. We will need to get the total passenger count from the DOT site that Charley Farley gave us to them determine the exact loads, unless of course our airport liaison will give them to us. Although I wish the loads were in fact 90%, I simply do not see that to be the case. If on June 23rd the loads were 78.5% and the summer months were most likely slower, I am betting on more like 75%.

Trust me if the loads were in fact 90%, other airlines will jump to take the place of Allegiant in Worcester like other airlines have done when TransMeridian/Hooters went out of business. In the end I feel the real reason Allegiant pulled out were low loads, not fuel prices. Considering Allegiant has a limited fleet, they need to put their planes were the demand is strong.

2 comments:

Joe Gargery said...

Jan From ORH TO SFB Flights 10 Seats 1360 Pax 1106 Load 81.32%
Jan From SFB TO ORH Flights 11 Seats 1510 Pax 1149 Load 76.09%
Feb From ORH TO SFB Flights 14 Seats 1880 Pax 1610 Load 85.64%
Feb From SFB TO ORH Flights 14 Seats 1880 Pax 1294 Load 68.83%
Mar From ORH TO SFB Flights 18 Seats 2560 Pax 2042 Load 79.77%
Mar From SFB TO ORH Flights 18 Seats 2560 Pax 2081 Load 81.29%
Apr From ORH TO SFB Flights 19 Seats 2550 Pax 2043 Load 80.12%
Apr From SFB TO ORH Flights 19 Seats 2550 Pax 1984 Load 77.80%
May From ORH TO SFB Flights 17 Seats 2250 Pax 1377 Load 61.20%
May From SFB TO ORH Flights 17 Seats 2250 Pax 1661 Load 73.82%

2006 Load Total 76.57%

Bill Randell said...

Charley:

Thanks... Just do not see June-July-August being higher. If anything it would be lower, so an 85-90% load factor does not seem realistic.

Any idea when you can get the July-August numbers from the http://www.transtats.bts.gov/ website?